000
FZPN03 KNHC 141536
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 14 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.9N 116.9W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 14
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...150
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 16.7N 121.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO
30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 420 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.2N 125.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN
120W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.4N 128.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 17.8N 132.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.5N 137.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 20.8N 136.7W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
14 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 26N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 21.7N 140.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER FROM 21N TO 26N W
OF 137W WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 28N W OF 135W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA WEST OF AREA NEAR
22.3N 145.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 23.0N
149.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 23.7N
154.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 24.5N
160.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1010 MB NEAR 13N105W. WITHIN 30 NM N
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...1009 MB
NEAR 11.5N106.5W. WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...1007 MB
NEAR 14N110W. WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S QUADRANT
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1200 UTC THU JUL 14...

HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 90 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES.

TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N80W TO 08N85W TO 08N95W TO
11N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM SOUTH OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH EAST OF 100W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.