000
FZPN03 KNHC 140904
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU JUL 14 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.7N 115.5W 989 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 14
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 16.4N 119.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO
33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 330 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.1N 124.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO
33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NW AND 360 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.5N 128.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.0N 131.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.5N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 20.3N 135.8W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
14 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT.  WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM NW AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 21.6N 139.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 29N W
OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 22.2N
144.6W. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN
8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 22.9N
149.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 23.5N
153.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 24.5N
158.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
12N107W 1010 MB. WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14.5N108W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC THU JUL 14...

HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM E AND 30 NM W
SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 17N
BETWEEN 113W AND 117W

TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS N OF 07N NEAR 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG N OF 14N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N79W TO 09N92W TO 11N106W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E OF 96W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.