000
FZPN03 KNHC 130916 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE JUL 12 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 15.3N 111.5W 998 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
13 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 15 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.3N 113.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.5N 115.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO
33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E AND
210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 16.0N 120.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO
33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 240 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 16.7N 124.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.5N 128.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.5N 132.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 18.3N 131.2W 987 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
13 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM
NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 510 NM NW AND 480 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 20.4N 134.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND
90 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 510 NM N AND 450 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 22.0N 139.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20
TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 30N138W TO 24N133W TO 16N140W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 22.5N 144.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 23.0N 149.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CELIA NEAR 23.5N
153.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W...INCLUDING
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND
90W...INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE JUL 12...

.TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND
90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM SW AND 60 NM
NE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM
SW AND 75 NM NE SEMICIRCLES

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N79W TO 10N88W TO 09N96W TO 11N102W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 84W AND 102W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.