000
FZPN03 KNHC 121537
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC TUE JUL 12 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 16.8N 128.5W 978 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 12
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210
NM OF A LINE FROM 21N131W TO 11N127W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10
TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 26N BETWEEN 130W AND
137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 18.9N 131.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO
14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 27N W OF 124 W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 21.0N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
220 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO
13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 13N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 22.1N 140.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 22.5N 145.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA NEAR 23.5N 149.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 16.0N 108.5W 1006 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
12 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 19N
BETWEEN 105W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 15.7N 112.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 110W AND
115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.4N 116.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 114W AND 120W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N
TO 20N BETWEEN 11W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 15.9N 121.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 16.5N 125.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 17.5N 128.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 119W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT
IN NW SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N E OF 91W...INCLUDING GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE JUL 12...

.HURRICANE CELIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 150 NM NW
SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM DARBY...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 93W NORTH OF 06N...NUMEROUS MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 90W AND 98W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N74W TO 10N85W TO 09.5N100W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 02N AND E OF 85W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH W OF 93W.

$$
.FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.