000
FZPN03 KNHC 101548
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN JUL 10 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 14.8N 121.3W 991 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
10 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO
20N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N TO 20N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 15.0N 125.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO
20N BETWEEN 121W AND 129W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 116W AND 130W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 15.9N 129.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO
21N BETWEEN 124W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N TO 26N BETWEEN 118W AND 137W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 17.9N 132.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 20.0N 136.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 21.0N 140.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS NEAR 21.3N 136.3W 1008 MB AT 1500
UTC JUL 10 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN 132W AND 139W WINDS 20
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 17N W OF 131W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS EXITING AREA
NEAR 21.1N 140.2W. FROM 21N TO 25N W OF 137W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS WEST OF AREA.
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.NEW LOW PRES NEAR 13N103W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N107W 1008MB. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N110W 1007 MB. WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN JUL 10...

.TROPICAL STORM CELIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM
OF CENTER. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 13N BETWEEN 95W AND
102W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N75W TO 06N90W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N103W
1010 MB TO 13N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N
TO 08N BETWEEN 75W AND 89W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM N
AND 300 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS. 

$$
.FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.