000
FZPN03 KNHC 100904
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN JUL 10 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 14.8N 119.8W 997 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
10 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT.SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER AREA FROM 09N TO 19N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 15.0N 124.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND
180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER AREA FROM 09N TO 21N BETWEEN 118W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 15.6N 128.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND
210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER AREA FROM 08N TO 23N BETWEEN 120W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 17.5N 131.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 19.7N 135.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 21.0N 139.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLAS NEAR 21.2N 135.2W 1007 MB AT 0900 UTC
JUL 10 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  WITHIN 210 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W OF 131W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 21.0N
138.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 20.0N
143.4W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 119W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN JUL 10...

.TROPICAL STORM CELIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM
SE AND 30 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 12N BETWEEN 95W AND
101W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N76W TO 08N92W TO 12N110W. ITCZ FROM
10N133W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 04N
E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 94W AND 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.