000
FZPN03 KNHC 090245
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 19.2N 131.0W 985 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 09
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND
240 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA
FROM 10N TO 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 20.2N 132.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...AND 50 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA
FROM 11N TO 28N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 21.3N 133.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 180 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM
14N TO 28N W OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 21.7N
137.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 180NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 19N W OF 132W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 21.0N
141.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 20.0N
145.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 13.7N 114.1W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
09 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 15 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CELIA NEAR 14.5N 118.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240
NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
AREA FROM 08N TO 17N BETWEEN 111W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 14.7N 122.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 15.5N 127.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 17.0N 131.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CELIA NEAR 19.5N 135.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SAT JUL 09...

.HURRICANE BLAS...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM W QUADRANT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL STORM CELIA...SCATTERED STRONG IN A BAND WITHIN 30 NM
OF LINE FROM 15N116W TO 17N114W TO 16.5N111W AND WITHIN 45 NM N
OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10W TO 14N
BETWEEN 110W AND 118W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 09N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 11N130W TO
14N126W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO 10N95W TO 11N100W TO
10N106W. IT RESUMES FROM 12N134W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 90W AND BETWEEN 94W AND
98W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.