000
FZPN03 KNHC 080903
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI JUL 08 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 17.4N 129.4W 972 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 08
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE
QUADRANT...270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW AND 240 SE SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUND BY A
LINE FROM 25N140W TO 28N129W TO 22N122W TO 13N122W TO 07N127W TO
09N140W TO 25N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.7N 131.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
270 NM NW AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA BOUND BY A LINE FROM
28N140W TO 24N127W TO 13N128W TO 13N140W TO 28N140W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BLAS NEAR 21.8N 134.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 240 NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 20N W OF 130W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 22.0N
138.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 21.0N
143.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 20.0N
147.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E NEAR 12.5N 112.0W 1006 MB AT 0900
UTC JUL 08 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 13.0N 115.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO
17N BETWEEN 110W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 13.5N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 112W AND
124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOUR-E NEAR 14.2N 123.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOUR-E NEAR 15.7N 127.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOUR-E NEAR 17.3N 131.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC FRI JUL 08...

.HURRICANE BLAS...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SE
AND 75 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N77W TO 09N85W TO 09N92W TO 11N105W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 82W AND 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 94W AND
104W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.