000
FZPN03 KNHC 070313
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 07 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 15.7N 125.4W 956 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 07
MOVING W NW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 16.7N 128.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 18.7N 131.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
360 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NW AND 330 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 20.8N 134.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BLAS NEAR 22.8N 138.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 22.2N
142.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E NEAR 12.4N 109.9W 1006 MB AT 0300
UTC JUL 07 MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 60 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 12.5N 112.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 10
TO 14 FT WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 12.5N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 12.5N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOUR-E NEAR 12.5N 122.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOUR-E NEAR 14.5N 126.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 21N138W 1014 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES MOVED W OF AREA. W OF A LINE FROM
30N137W TO 22N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS TO MERGE WITH THOSE DESCRIBED ABOVE
UNDER BLAS.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC THU JUL 07...

.HURRICANE BLAS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S QUADRANT.
SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM N QUADRANT AND FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W
AND 108W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N78W TO 09N95W TO 11N106W...THEN RESUMES
FROM 12N126W TO 11N137W. ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 11N137W TO BEYOND
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS
BETWEEN 95W AND 100W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W
AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF
AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 107W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.