000
FZPN03 KNHC 061552
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED JUL 06 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 06.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL  8.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 15.0N 123.6W 956 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 06
MOVING W OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND
240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 16.0N 127.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
360 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 17.5N 130.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 600 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 19.6N 133.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BLAS NEAR 21.8N 137.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 22.5N
140.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 12N108W 1007 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
12N110W 1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW QUADRANT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
12N110W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW QUADRANT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... NEAR
12N112W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 20N134W 1012 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES W OF AREA. W OF A LINE FROM 20N137W
TO 24N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1515 UTC WED JUL 6...

.HURRICANE BLAS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER.

.LOW PRES 12N108W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N
TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 11N
BETWEEN 108W AND 116W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 11N106W...THEN RESUMES FROM
13N126W TO 11N137W. ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 11N138W TO BEYOND
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 11N
BETWEEN 89W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.