000
FZPN03 KNHC 042101
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC MON JUL 04 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 13.7N 115.7W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 04
MOVING W NW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE...
130 NM SE...40 NM SW AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE AND 120 NM SE
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E AND 
180 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE AND WITHIN 240 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 14.6N 120.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE...130 NM SE...80 NM SW AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF THE
CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. REMAINDER
WATERS WITHIN 540 NM SE AND 390 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 15.6N 124.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE...150 NM SE...100 NM SW AND 110 NM NW QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. REMAINDER
WATERS WITHIN 660 NM SE AND WITHIN 540 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
CENTER EXCEPT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN
MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BLAS NEAR 16.8N 128.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BLAS NEAR 18.2N 131.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BLAS NEAR 20.0N
135.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA AT 18.8N 129.4W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 04 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
60 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11
FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 75 NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AGATHA NEAR 19.6N
132.7W. WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AGATHA NEAR 19.6N
136.7W. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON JUL 04...

.TROPICAL STORM AGATHA...SCATTERED MODERATE WELL NE OF CENTER 
WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N126.5W.

.TROPICAL STORM BLAS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION  
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS.  

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N102W TO 17N99.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM OF LINE FROM 11.5N95W
TO 13N102W TO 09N108W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 08N95W. SURFACE TROUGH FROM
12N123W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N
TO 09N E OF 90W...AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE SURFACE TROUGH.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.