000
FZPN03 KNHC 022104
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT JUL 2 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM AGATHA NEAR 16.1N 120.1W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
02 MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE AND
WITHIN 30 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 15 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 60 NM NE AND WITHIN 30 NM SW QUADRANTS.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM AGATHA NEAR 17.5N 123.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE AND WITHIN 30 NM NW QUADRANTS.
SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 15 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS AND WITHIN 60 NM
NE AND WITHIN 30 NM SW QUADRANTS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA NEAR 18.4N 128.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR CENTER. SEAS TO
12 FT NEAR CENTER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 60 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW AGATHA NEAR 18.0N
131.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 11N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 150 E SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER
SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
11.5N110.5W 1005 MB. WITHIN 270 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
13N115W 1000 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND 150 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N135W TO 30N122W TO 25N128W TO 30N135W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 13N TO 16N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT JUL 2...

.TROPICAL STORM AGATHA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM W OF 
CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 07N100W TO 14N100W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM E AND WITHIN 240 NM W OF WAVE AXIS.  

.LOW PRES 11N106W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
270 NM OVER W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 09N92W THROUGH LOW PRES 11N106W 
TO 14N112W...RESUMES FROM 12N121W TO 09N127W TO 11N133W. ITCZ
11N133W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM OF LINE FROM 06N78W TO 10N95W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE
FROM 11.5N118W TO 06N129.5W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 14.5N133W.  

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.