000
FZPN03 KNHC 210934
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC SAT NOV 21 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT NOV 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON NOV 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 16.9N 113.8W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV
21 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
15 NM W SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30
NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
AREA FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W AND FROM 10N TO 14N
BETWEEN 109W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICK NEAR 17.9N 116.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 45 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RICK NEAR 20.1N
118.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 45 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RICK NEAR 21.8N
119.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RICK NEAR 22.5N
118.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM
16N95W TO 14.5N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO
15N95W TO 13N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN NE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40
KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12N97.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 45
KT. SEAS 15 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 11N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 45
KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 11N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND
102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 26N W OF A LINE FROM 30N122W TO 26N130W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. FROM 09N TO 26N W
OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 130W AND 136W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 04N BETWEEN 103W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9
FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 100W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE...SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N W OF 113W NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N W OF 113W NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0730 UTC SAT NOV 21... 

.TROPICAL STORM RICK...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM E
QUADRANT AND 240 NM S QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND
94W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 87W AND
93W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...        

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N78W TO 09N98W TO 15N107W...THEN
CONTINUES FROM 12N113W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N118W 1008 MB TO
10N127W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N132W TO 07N134W. ITCZ FROM 07N134W
TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM E AND S OF AXIS
BETWEEN 113W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE E OF AXIS FROM 04N TO
08N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W. 

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.