000
FZPN03 KNHC 191542
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC THU NOV 19 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU NOV 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI NOV 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 14.7N 105.8W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV
19 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 16.2N 108.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60NM OF THE CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM
OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO
11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 17.7N 112.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RICK NEAR 19.0N 113.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW RICK NEAR 20.9N
114.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM
16.5N95W TO 14.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS
TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE
OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE
FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N96W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE
OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95.5W N TO NE WINDS N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 24N TO 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N127W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT
SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY LINE FROM 30N120W TO 20N122W TO 13N112W TO 10N130W TO
13N140W TO 27N140W TO 30N134W TO 30N120W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT...EXCEPT N TO NE WINDS N OF 27N BETWEEN 122W AND 134W. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10N128.50W 1006 MB. WITHIN 210
NM NW SEMICIRCLE NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. N OF 28N
BETWEEN 123W AND 128W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 22N132W TO 10N107W
TO 00N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES TO DISSIPATE. FROM 11N TO 26N W OF
133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. N OF 27N
BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N W OF 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN MIXED SW AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC THU NOV 19... 

.TROPICAL STORM RICK...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180
NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...        

MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO 08.5N94W TO 11N100W...
WHERE IT IS FRACTURED...THEN RESUMES FROM 11.5N108W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 11N113.5W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N127W TO 07.5N132W...WHERE
IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON BEYOND 08N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 05N TO 11.5N BETWEEN
80W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED
WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S OF TROUGH AND LOWS BETWEEN 110W AND
130W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.