000
FZPN03 KNHC 190236
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU NOV 19 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU NOV 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI NOV 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT NOV 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 13.2N 106.1W 1004 MB AT
0300 UTC NOV 19 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 13.7N 106.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 180 NM NW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 14.6N 108.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM S
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 16.0N 111.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 17.5N 113.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 19.0N
114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR
21.0N 114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND
95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS
9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 95.5W N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF
A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS
9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 29N W OF 109.5W AND N OF 21N BETWEEN
107.5W AND 109.5W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 29N W OF 110W NW TO N
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
9 TO 11 FT. FROM 11N TO 28N W OF 124W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT IN MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 12N128W. ELSEWHERE
N OF 05N W OF A LINE FROM 05N102W TO 13N102W TO 30N118W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N BETWEEN 119W
AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NORTHERLY
SWELL. FROM 17N TO 28N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 28N W OF A LINE FROM 05N105W
TO 13N105W TO 28N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NORTHERLY SWELL. FROM 10N TO 27N W OF A
LINE FROM 10N130W TO 15N130W TO 27N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND
115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW
SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC THU NOV 19... 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN
360 NM N QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N117W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N127W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...        

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 11N84W TO 12N102W THEN RESUMES FROM
12N110W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N117W TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N127W TO
07N134W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 07N134W 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM
04N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 88W...FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 90W AND
93W...FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 96W AND 102W...AND WITHIN 75 NM SE
OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.