000
FZPN03 KNHC 230951
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
 
PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 17.0N 105.5W 880 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 23 
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 175 KT 
GUSTS 215 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 130 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...135 NM NE QUADRANT AND 240 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INLAND NEAR 21.7N 
104.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. FROM 19N TO 22N E OF 107W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 22N110W TO 22N106W TO 18N100W TO 03S100W TO 00N125W 
TO 22N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW 
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PATRICIA NEAR 24.5N 
102.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FROM 05N TO 
16N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...PATRICIA DISSIPATED. FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 
100W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
 
.FROM W OF LINE FROM 30N132W TO 11N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 11N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF W OF AREA. N OF 15N W OF 135W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA 18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 25N TO 28N NW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0830 UTC FRI OCT 23...
.HURRICANE PATRICIA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
OF THE EYE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED TO 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 270 NM NE...270 NM SE...300 
NM SW...AND 180 NW QUADRANTS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9.5N84W TO 12N90W...WHERE IT REMAINS 
FRACTURED FROM PATRICIA...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N108W TO 10N125W 
TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N128W 1012 MB...TO 10N135W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 85W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM N AND 90 NM 
S OF MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. 

.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.