000
FZPN03 KNHC 220939
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU OCT 22 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
 
PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 14.3N 102.3W 980 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 22 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 96W AND 114W AS WELL AS FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 95W AND 
104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 16.5N 105.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
300 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 101W AND 
106W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
N OF 06N W OF 99W TO A LINE FROM 21N105W TO 06N122W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PATRICIA INLAND NEAR 20.3N 104.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 03N TO 23N W OF 99W TO A LINE FROM 23N114W TO 06N127W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL PATRICIA NEAR 25.0N 101.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
 
.FROM 08N TO 24N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW TO W SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 27N135W TO 08N140W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. W OF A LINE FROM 
30N127W TO 25N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 27N140W TO 20N132W TO 10N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. N OF 
27N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
NW SWELL. 

.S OF 01S W OF 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SW OF A LINE FROM 03.4S100W TO 00N120W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0815 UTC THU OCT 22...
.HURRICANE PATRICIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM 
NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...330 NM SW QUADRANT AND 270 NW 
QUADRANT. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF COAST FROM 03N TO 05N AND 
WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST S OF 03N. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N84W TO 12N93W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 
11N96W TO 11N126W TO 08N132W TO 09N137W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 
STRONG FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 270 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W TO 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 07N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W.

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.