000
FZPN03 KNHC 220247
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU OCT 22 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
 
PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA NEAR 13.5N 100.5W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC 
OCT 22 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...85 
NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE 
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N100W TO 06N110W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 
102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW 
SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 14.2N 102.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 15.5N 103.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM NW AND 60 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N101W TO 
07N106W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 
06N TO 17N BETWEEN 98W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PATRICIA NEAR 19.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 
NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 22N BETWEEN 100W AND 
113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA INLAND NEAR 24.1N 
103.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
 
.W OF A LINE FROM 24N140W TO 19N134W TO 13N134W TO 07N140W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 24N140W TO 20N136W TO 13N137W 
TO 10N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
NW OF LINE 30N134W TO 24N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N122W TO 21N136W TO 15N136W 
TO 09N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MERGING SW AND 
NW SWELL.

.S OF 02S W OF 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE 01N127W TO 01N119W TO 03.4S111W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC THU OCT 22...

.TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
120 NM OR CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE 
FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 92W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N102W TO 10N110W TO 10N126W TO 08N131W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 OF TROUGH BETWEEN 105W 
AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 113W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 N S 
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. 

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.