000
FZPN03 KNHC 191610
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 19 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
 
PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 19.                              
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 9.9N 137.7W 967 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 19 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 26N W OF 126W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND NW 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 10.8N 140.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 450 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 25N W OF 128W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF W OF AREA NEAR 12.2N 144.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...100 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 07N TO 25N W 
OF 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF WELL W OF AREA NEAR 14.0N 
146.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 16.7N 146.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 19.5N 147.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 13N94W 1007 MB. WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 
LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 
14N95W TO 13.5N95.5W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W AS WELL AS 
FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N96W 1005 MB. WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 
TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95W TO 12N96W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 
101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED N AND SW 
SWELL. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N96W 1005 MB. WITHIN 30 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W TO 13.5N96W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 12 FT. FROM 07N TO 14N W OF 93W TO A LINE FROM 14N97W TO 
07N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N97W 1003 MB. BETWEEN 60 AND 90 NM N AND NE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. REMAINDER 
AREA FROM 05N TO 14N W OF 94W TO A LINE FROM 14N99W TO 05N106W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 06N BETWEEN 98W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 107W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.N OF 25N W OF 118W TO LINE FROM 30N130W TO 26N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 116W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N BETWEEN 118W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC MON OCT 19...
.HURRICANE OLAF....NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 
134W AND 139W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 
06N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.

.TROUGH FROM 17N115W TO 12N118W TO 07N119W....SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NW OF TROUGH FROM 13N TO 17N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 105W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 14N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N94W 1007 MB 
TO 10N102W TO 09N110W TO 08N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 89W AND 94W AS WELL 
AS N OF 13N BETWEEN 97W AND 101W.

.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.