000 FZPN03 KNHC 181612 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 18. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 19. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 20. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 9.5N 133.2W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 18 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM W QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 16N BETWEEN 126W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 10.2N 136.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 130 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 23N W OF 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 11.6N 139.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 25N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF W OF AREA NEAR 13.5N 142.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 15.5N 143.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 17.8N 144.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...GALE WARNING... .WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 99W AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N95W TO 12N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL. .06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15.5N95W TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 99W AND ALSO WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N95W TO 13N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N95W 1006 MB. WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.5N95.5W TO 13N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N96W 1005 MB. BETWEEN 60 NM AND 120 NM NW AND N QUADRANTS OF LOW WINDS...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 07N98W TO 05N105W TO 01N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 07N97W TO 05N100W AND S OF 05N BETWEEN 106W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .NW OF A LINE FROM 30N129W TO 14N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 116W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. .S OF 03N BETWEEN 81W AND 87W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC SUN OCT 18... .HURRICANE OLAF...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT...ALSO WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 07N133W TO 08N134W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 08N134W TO 09N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN BANDS ELSEWHERE FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W...FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 136W AND 138W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AN OUTER BAND FROM 12N136W TO 14.5N132W TO 15N129W TO 16N127W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N135W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 14N92W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N94W 1007 MB TO 11N97W TO 13N105W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N113W 1007 MB TO 11N120W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 93W. .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.