000
FZPN03 KNHC 170238
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0430 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
 
PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM OLAF NEAR 9.7N 127.6W 1004 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 17 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 120W 
AND 126W. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OLAF NEAR 9.7N 130.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 15N BETWEEN 126W AND 134W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 10.5N 133.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 
NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 20N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 12.0N 137.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 14.0N 140.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE OLAF NEAR 16.5N 141.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 
30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W TO 12.5N96W N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N 
TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 
NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W TO 10N98W N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 14.5N95W T0 11N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N95W TO 
15N95W TO 12N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 05N BETWEEN 100W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 101W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
 
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N135W TO 26N140W. NW OF LINE FROM 30N136W TO 
27N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 30N129W TO 26N135W 
THEN STATIONARY TO 25N140W. NW OF LINE FROM 30N132W TO 20N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. W OF A LINE FROM 
30N124W TO 20N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY 
IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC SAT OCT 17...

.TROPICAL STORM OLAF...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 06N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 13N88W TO 09N98W TO 09N102W TO 08N111W. ITCZ 
FROM 07N137W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 06N BETWEEN 83W AND 101W. 

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.