000
FZPN03 KNHC 100944
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1030 UTC SAT OCT 10 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
 
PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NORA NEAR 11.6N 136.5W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
10 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORA NEAR 12.1N 140.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W WINDS 25 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 136W AND 140W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORA NEAR 12.7N 143.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS FROM 13N TO 22N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORA NEAR 13.5N 145.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORA NEAR 16.0N 145.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORA NEAR 18.5N 142.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM FROM 
16N95W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 99W AND 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N137W TO 28N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W TO 25N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 20N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 17N115W 1008 MB. FROM 20N TO 23N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 114W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 26N116W TO LOW PRES NEAR 20N115W 
1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E OF TROUGH SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 27N117W TO LOW PRES NEAR 21N115W 
1010 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E OF TROUGH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 103W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN PRIMARILY SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 98W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0830 UTC SAT OCT 10...

.TROPICAL STORM NORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 
13N93W TO 10N85W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N95W 1009M MB TO 
07N97W TO 11N110W...THEN CONTINUES FROM LOW PRES NEAR 12N115W 
1009 MB TO 11N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE 
MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 115W AND 122W.

.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.