000
FZPN03 KNHC 011617
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
1630 UTC SAT AUG 01 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQU/LATER T
 
 
AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION TONIGHT.ATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 01.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

..HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 13.5N 139.0W 970 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 01 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...360 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 330 NM NE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST 
WATERS FROM 07N TO 20N BETWEEN 127W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GUILLERMO JUST W OF AREA NEAR 13.9N 
141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS...360 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH TO SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 390 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS FROM 07N TO 
23N BETWEEN 127W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 14.5N 143.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER 
FORECAST WATERS FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 127W AND 140W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 16.2N 146.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
300 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 390 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 138W 
AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 17.5N 148.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 19.0N 151.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 20.7N 155.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N90W TO 09N93W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10.5N90W 
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 11.5N86W TO 11N88W 
TO 11N91W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.

.S OF LINE FROM 05N135W TO 13N113W TO 11N104W TO 03.4S93W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 04N127W TO 13N111W 11N91W TO 
02S92W TO 02S89W TO 03N83W TO 00S81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 01N120W TO 05N109W TO 13N103W 
TO 11N91W TO 04N93W TO 03S92W TO 03.4S89W TO 04N84W TO 02N81W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL. 

.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27N E OF 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 30N E OF 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC SAT AUG 01...

.HURRICANE GUILLERMO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN OUTER BANDS FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 
134W AND 136W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 16N129W.
 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 
FROM 14N132W TO 13N140W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W FROM 06N TO 15N...SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM W OF WAVE FROM 
09N TO 10N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF 
MEXICO FROM 17N TO 23N.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 15.5N103W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...           
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N85W TO 08N92W TO 09N99W. ITCZ AXIS 
EXTENDS FROM 09N99W TO 09N108W...THEN FROM 08N111W TO 06N120W TO 
05N127W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 03N 
BETWEEN 78W AND 81W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE ITCZ W OF 137W. 
 
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.