000
FZPN03 KNHC 170241
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI JUL 17 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
 
.HURRICANE DOLORES NEAR 20.8N 113.2W 971 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 17 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 110 
NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE AND WITHIN 270 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 30N BETWEEN 106W AND 
127W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 25N...WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DOLORES NEAR 21.7N 116.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO
33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM SE AND WITHIN
270 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 06N TO 30N BETWEEN 106W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 24.4N 118.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE...70 NM SE...60 NM SW AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 300 NM S AND WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 23 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 04N TO 30N BETWEEN 110W 
AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 28.7N 
121.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 30.5N 
122.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOLORES NEAR 30.2N 
123.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE NEAR 20.5N 136.3W 1007 MB AT 0300
UTC JUL 17 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
CENTER. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF EPAC FROM 09N TO 30N
BETWEEN 127W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ENRIQUE NEAR 20.7N
137.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT WITHIN 150
NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
REMAINDER OF EPAC FROM 09N TO 30N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ENRIQUE NEAR 20.0N
137.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT WITHIN 180 NM
NW QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF EPAC FROM 13N TO 30N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.  
 
.S OF LINE FROM 03.4S101W TO 03N82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS  
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.   
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S120W TO 05N81W...EXCEPT 
LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03N116W TO 09N95W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.  

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 09N102W 1007 MB. FROM 11N TO 14N  
BETWEEN 95W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY 
IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 11N104W 1009 MB. FROM 12N TO 16N  
BETWEEN 96W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY 
IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC FRI JUL 17...

.HURRICANE DOLORES...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SURROUNDS 15 
NM WIDE EYE OUTWARD WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG NOTED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF LINE FROM 
25N114W TO 16N106W. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE...ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. 

.LOW PRES 07N99.5W 1009 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE FROM 04N90W TO 07N106W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 04N89W TO 15N88W...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 09N89W. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 12N120W 
TO 06N130W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...               
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N83W TO 09N96W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF WAVE BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. 
 
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.