000
FZPN03 KNHC 150441 RRA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
0430 UTC WED JUL 15 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE DOLORES NEAR 18.2N 109.2W 970 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 15 
MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE... 150 
NM SE...60 NM SW AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 27N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 121W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 
24N... WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DOLORES NEAR 19.2N 110.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE AND WITHIN 330 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 41 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N TO 29N BETWEEN 104W AND 
125W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 25N...WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DOLORES NEAR 20.5N 113.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM SE AND 390 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. 
REMAINDER OF WATERS N OF 07N BETWEEN 104W AND 125W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 26N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DOLORES NEAR 21.5N 116.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 24.0N 120.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DOLORES NEAR 27.0N 123.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
 
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE NEAR 18.7N 131.2W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC  
JUL 15 MOVING W NW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E 
AND WITHIN 390 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF EPAC FROM 12N TO 28N BETWEEN 124W AND 140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE NEAR 19.8N 133.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 75 NM E AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E AND WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF EPAC FROM 14N TO 30N 
BETWEEN 126W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE NEAR 20.9N 135.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM SE AND WITHIN 330 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF EPAC FROM 11N TO 30N BETWEEN 125W 
AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ENRIQUE NEAR 21.0N 
136.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ENRIQUE NEAR 20.5N 
136.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ENRIQUE NEAR 20.2N 
136.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.S OF LINE FROM 12N134W TO 00N81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N E OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 01N136W TO 04N81W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC WED JUL 15...

.HURRICANE DOLORES...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF AN 
OPEN 15 NM CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN BAND WITHIN 
150 NM OF LINE FROM 09N116W TO 18N104W.

.TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM 
NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.  
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...               
.MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N81W TO 09N97W. ITCZ FROM 09N130W 
TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF THE 
PACIFIC COAST CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 78W AND 83W...WITHIN 120 NM OF 
LINE 04N83W TO 14N95W....AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 10N129W TO 
04N140W.  

.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.