000
FZPN03 KNHC 162207 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUN 16.                             
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.8N 104.4W 984 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN 16 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 75 
NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 18.9N 105.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 20 KT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 75 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 20.2N 106.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CARLOS...EXCEPT 75 NM W QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 18N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 106W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 21.6N 107.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 127W AND 132W AND FROM 14N TO 18N W OF 
132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 16N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 13N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.S OF 04N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 08N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W AND S OF 02N W 
OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 

.S OF 01N BETWEEN 90W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 08N BETWEEN 97W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 13N BETWEEN 97W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC TUE JUN 16...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 30 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM ALONG 89W N OF 08N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 120 NM W OF WAVE FROM 08N TO 10N. 

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N101W TO 04N102W...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ALONG AND WITHIN 60 NM W OF WAVE FROM 07N TO 10N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N92W...THEN ITCZ TO 
07N100W. IT RESUMES AT 05N105W TO 01N118W TO 02N130W TO 04N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF MONSOON TROUGH AND ITCZ 
FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 81W AND 84W...AND FROM 03N TO 06N 
BETWEEN 89W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
60 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 105W AND 107W...AND BETWEEN 108W AND 111W. 
SIMILAR ACTIVITY S OF ITCZ W OF 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.