000
FZPN03 KNHC 161617
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.5N 104.3W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN 16 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 50 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 75 
NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 16.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 18.6N 105.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 75 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 19.5N 106.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 20.1N 107.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 21.2N 
107.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 14N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS  TO 8 FT IN PRIMARILY SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 13N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.S OF 06N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 90W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 94W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 96W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC TUE JUN 16...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG FROM 
16N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 11N98W TO 03N101W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN FROM 92W AND 108W. 

.CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 88W AND 
90W. ELSEWHERE  SCATTERED MODERATE  ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 
08N BETWEEN 84W AND 92W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
ITCZ 06N90W TO 05N99W THEN CONTINUES FROM 04N103W TO 02N118W TO 
03N130W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 08W BETWEEN 
99W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 01N TO 05N W OF 135W. 

$$
.FORECASTER NR/GR . NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.