000
FZPN03 KNHC 160926
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.4N 103.9W 989 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN 16 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 45 NM SE AND 60 
NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 16.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 18.5N 105.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM SE AND 60 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 16.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 19.8N 106.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 20.6N 
107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 21.4N 
107.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 04N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 90W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01N BETWEEN 95W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 96W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC TUE JUN 16...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 87W AND 
89W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
ITCZ 07N92W TO 02N105W TO 03N118W THEN CONTINUES FROM 09N123W TO 
05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 08W BETWEEN 99W AND 
107W. 

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.