000
FZPN03 KNHC 160233
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC TUE JUN 16 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUN 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUN 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUN 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.2N 103.5W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 16 
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NE 
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 45 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 16.5N BETWEEN 
102W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 18.1N 104.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM SE AND 60 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA 16.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 19.8N 106.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 20.5N 
106.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 21.2N 
107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 02S BETWEEN 90W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 99W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 98W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC TUE JUN 16...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
FROM 15N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 08N BETWEEN 95W 
AND 104W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
ITCZ 08N112W TO 08N120W TO 05N125W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.