000
FZPN03 KNHC 150904
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC MON JUN 15 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUN 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 16.7N 101.8W 988 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN 
15 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 75 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.4N 103.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 75 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 
105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 18.7N 105.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS NEAR 20.7N 105.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 22.3N 
106.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 03N W OF 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 93W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 95W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC MON JUN 15...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 15N 
BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
ITCZ FROM 09N119W TO 05N130W TO 03N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 80 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 114W TO 
117W.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.