000
FZPN03 KNHC 150234
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC MON JUN 15 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON JUN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUN 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 16.7N 101.3W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 
15 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 75 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.4N 103.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM SE AND 60 NM 
NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA N OF 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 18.7N 104.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 17.5N BETWEEN 102W 
AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS INLAND NEAR 20.5N 
105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 22.0N 
106.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CARLOS NEAR 24.0N 
107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02N BETWEEN 124W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 132W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 93W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 98W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC MON JUN 15...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM E AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE N OF 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W. 
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 08N108W TO 05N120W TO 07N135W TO 06N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 
WITHIN 60 NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 112W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 300 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.