000
FZPN03 KNHC 141543
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 15.9N 100.4W 986 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN 
14 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 75 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 12.5N BETWEEN 
96W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.8N 102.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 
15N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.9N 103.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA N OF 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INLAND NEAR 20.2N 
104.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS INLAND NEAR 21.9N 
105.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS INLAND NEAR 23.8N 
105.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02.5N BETWEEN 116W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S90W TO 00N102W TO 01S116W 
TO 02N126W TO 05N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S91.5W TO 00N103W TO 
00N119W TO 04.5N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE 
SWELL.

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 126W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN N SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1515 UTC SUN JUN 14...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM E 
AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 
NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 10N99.5W TO 16N94W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 01.5N TO 11.5N E OF 92.5W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N100W TO 07N110W...WHERE IT 
TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 03.5N121W TO 
05N132W...THEN CONTINUES AGAIN FROM 06.5N136W TO BEYOND 05N140W. 
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 
150 NM N AND 90 NM S OF ITCZ BETWEEN 111W AND 132W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.