000
FZPN03 KNHC 140937
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.8N 100.3W 980 MB AT 0900 UTC JUN 14 
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 
96W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.9N 102.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W 
AND 75 NM E SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 18.0N 104.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 105 NM W AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 106W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS INLAND NEAR 20.0N 105.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS OVER WATER NEAR 21.5N 
105.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS INLAND NEAR 23.5N 
106.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 130W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN N SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN JUN 14...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM SE 
AND 30 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 103W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N105W TO 05N115W. ITCZ FROM 05N115W TO 
04N120W TO 05N130W TO 05N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. 

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.