000
FZPN03 KNHC 140247
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SUN JUN 14 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUN 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUN 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUN 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.5N 100.1W 978 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 14 
MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.4N 101.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W AND 75 NM E SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 29 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 106W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.5N 103.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W 
AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS INLAND NEAR 19.5N 105.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS OVER WATER NEAR 21.5N 
106.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INLAND NEAR 23.5N 
106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 123W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 128W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 130W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC SUN JUN 14...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 30 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 102W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N105W TO 05N114W. ITCZ FROM 05N114W TO 
04N120W TO 07N130W TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM 
N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 128W AND 131W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.