000
FZPN03 KNHC 131544
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SAT JUN 13 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 14.9N 100.2W 986 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN 13 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.8N 101.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE...90 NM SE...90 NM NW...AND 75 NM SW 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...210 
NM SE...180 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 12.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 97W 
AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.9N 103.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM 
OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 130 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W 
AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 18.6N 105.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 20.5N 106.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 22.5N 107.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02N BETWEEN 112W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02.5N BETWEEN 115W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03.5N BETWEEN 119W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NW AND N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1430 UTC SAT JUN 13...
.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 01N TO 05N BETWEEN 78W AND 
96W...AND FROM 06.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 79W AND 89W.

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ALL BUT NW 
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...175 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED TO 
LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG OCCURRING IN AN ARCHING 150 
NM WIDE BAND FROM 150 TO 330 NM OF CENTER ACROSS SE SEMICIRCLE. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N101W TO 09.5N111W TO 05N115W... 
WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ...CONTINUING ON TO 02N121W TO 
07.5N130W TO BEYOND 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
09.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 129.5W AND 132.5W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.