000
FZPN03 KNHC 122103
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC FRI JUN 12 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUN 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUN 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUN 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 14.7N 100.6W 997 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN 
12 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...150 NM SW...120 NM 
NW...AND 210 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 15.2N 100.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
90 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.1N 102.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 
NM...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 19N BETWEEN 
97W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.3N 104.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 19.5N 106.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 22.0N 107.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 108W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02N BETWEEN 119W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC FRI JUN 12...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 75 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 102W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 80W AND 91W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N104W TO 06N110W TO 06N117W. ITCZ FROM 
06N117W TO 08N125W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM 
S OF ITCZ BETWEEN 125W AND 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.