000
FZPN03 KNHC 120244
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC FRI JUN 12 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUN 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUN 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUN 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 14.5N 100.4W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 
12 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER...WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 270 NM SE 
AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.0N 100.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW AND 240 NM SE 
QUADRANTS...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
WITHIN 300 NM...210 NM NE...210 NM SW...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.4N 101.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW...AND 210 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 
12N TO 22N BETWEEN 101W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.3N 103.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 19.2N 107.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02S BETWEEN 111W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. 

.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC FRI JUN 12...

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 
92W AND 105W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N105W TO 06N115W. ITCZ FROM 06N115W TO 
08N126W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM S OF 
ITCZ BETWEEN 118W AND 132W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.