000
FZPN03 KNHC 112107
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC THU JUN 11 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUN 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUN 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUN 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 14.1N 100.3W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC JUN 
11 MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 14.6N 100.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM SE 
QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW AND 270 NM SE QUADRANTS 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.1N 101.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 110 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW...210 NM NE...90 NM SW...AND 150 NM SE 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 10.5N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 95W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.7N 102.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 18.5N 107.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02S BETWEEN 113W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. 

.42 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 19N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU JUN 11...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 
89W AND 105W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 82W AND 86W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N102W TO 06N110W TO 06N116W. ITCZ FROM 
06N116W TO 07N124W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 240 NM 
S OF ITCZ BETWEEN 116W AND 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 210 
NM N OF ITCZ BETWEEN 128W AND 132W AND 210 NM S OF ITCZ BETWEEN 
128W AND 130W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.