000
FZPN03 KNHC 111515
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC THU JUN 11 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUN 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUN 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 13.6N 100.4W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC JUN 
11 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 240 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 14.2N 100.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM E QUADRANT...180 NM S 
QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 14.7N 100.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 
10.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 15.6N 101.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 16.8N 104.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 17.7N 106.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 113W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 106W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01N BETWEEN 111W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1300 UTC THU JUN 11...
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 16N BETWEEN 
89W AND 105W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 83W AND 
86W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 12N104W TO 06N110W TO 04N116W. ITCZ 
AXIS FROM 04N116W TO 07N126W TO 08N138W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 127W AS WELL 
AS WITHIN 210 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 131W. 

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.