000
FZPN03 KNHC 031508
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC MON NOV 03 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 15.3N 110.6W 971 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 03 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED IN GALE WARNINGS...BETWEEN 94W AND 
104W N OF 07N TO A LINE FROM 13N94W TO 19N114W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 18.6N 110.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM SE AND NW QUADRANT...100 NM NE QUADRANT...60 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM W QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA...EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED IN GALE WARNINGS...FROM 08N 
TO 25N E OF 120W TO A LINE FROM 08N100W TO 14N100W TO 25N112W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE NEAR 22.5N 107.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE NEAR 24.0N 
107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.


...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13.5N96W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE 
FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 12N99W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 11 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW PRES NEAR 09N98W 1008 MB MOVING W-NW 15 KT. WITHIN 90 NM N 
QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N103W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N105W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. FROM 
15N TO 19N SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 15N TO 21N W OF 122W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 30N114W TO 15N122W TO 
08N140W...EXCEPT N OF 25N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 124W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 25N W OF 120W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 23N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N NW TO N WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC MON NOV 03...

.HURRICANE VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 11N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 106W AND 112W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 07N91W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N98W 
1008 MB TO 11N105W...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N115W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
11N128W 1008 MB TO 09N133W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 09N133W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 124W AND 
131W.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.