000
FZPN03 KNHC 030345
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC MON NOV 03 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE NOV 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED NOV 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 13.7N 109.6W 973 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 03 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 17N BETWEEN 
105W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 17.1N 110.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 
22N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 20.4N 108.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXPECT 90 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE NEAR 23.5N 
107.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 
35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 
LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 12N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W E 
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 100W...AND FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 27.5N112W TO NEAR 21N120W. FROM 11N 
TO 23N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 IN 
MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE FROM 28N115W TO 
20N120W TO 10N125W...EXCEPT N OF 26N W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 
120W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 IN MIXED NE AND NW 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 24N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 
27N E OF 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N 
TO 24N W OF 112 WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE 
AND NW SWELL. FROM 24N TO 28N E OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 09N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11.5N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11N E OF 91W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST 09N TO 11N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC MON NOV 03...

.HURRICANE VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 
15N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N128W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN AROUND 120 NM 
OF A LINE FROM 16N122W TO 12N127W TO 09N131W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N96W 1010 MB 
TO 11N102W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 13N120W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
11N128W 1008 MB TO 09N132W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 09N132W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W 
AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 
138W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.