000
FZPN03 KNHC 022128
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC SUN NOV 02 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN NOV 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON NOV 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE NOV 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 12.8N 108.6W 985 MB AT 2100 UTC NOV 02 
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 
105W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 16.0N 110.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 
20N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 19.3N 109.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXPECT 90 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 09N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 21.5N 108.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE NEAR 22.5N 
108.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
13N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 
35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 
LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 12N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 14N96W TO 12N100W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 
100W AND 105W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 
105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 28N112W TO 21N120W TO 19N130W. FROM 
11N TO 23N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 IN 
MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE FROM 28N115W TO 
20N125W...EXCEPT N OF 26N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. FROM 11N TO 21N W OF 
120W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 IN MIXED NE AND NW 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 24N W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 24N E OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 120W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N 
TO 24N W OF 112 WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY 
IN NW SWELL. FROM 24N TO 27N E OF 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.FROM 09N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11.5N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11.5N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST 09N TO 11N E OF 91W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SUN NOV 02...

.HURRICANE VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 110W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N127W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM S QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 122W AND 126W...AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 128W AND 
130W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 09N84W TO LOW PRES NEAR 08N95W 1010 MB 
TO 09N100W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 11N115W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
11N127W 1009 MB TO 09N131W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 09N131W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.