000 FZPN03 KNHC 021547 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SUN NOV 02 2014 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN NOV 02. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 03. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 04. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 11.9N 107.5W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC NOV 02 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 9N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 14.8N 110.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 08N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 17.8N 110.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W...EXCEPT N OF A LINE FROM 24N113W TO 16N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 20.0N 109.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE NEAR 22.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW VANCE NEAR 22.5N 111.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...GALE WARNING... .WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13.5N97W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 13N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. .06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W TO 12.5N100W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W TO 13N98W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 13.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N127W 1009 MB MOVING W 5 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED NEXT. .COLD FRONT FROM 31N111W TO 22N120W THEN DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO 20N130W. S OF 22N W OF A LINE FROM 22N129W TO 11N140W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N W OF A LINE FROM 30N116W TO 10N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL...EXCEPT 11 TO 13 FT N OF 29N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W. .24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. LOW PRES NEAR 11N128W 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 123W AND 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA W OF 114W N OF A LINE FROM 22N114W TO 10N130W TO 08N140W...EXCEPT N OF 27N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N130W 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 22N BETWEEN 124W AND 139W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 09N TO 24N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. .FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 85W AND 89W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .32 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 88W AND 94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 07.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 88W AND 94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 1415 UTC SUN NOV 02... .HURRICANE VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 114W. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N127W...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 121W AND 126W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N77W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N92W 1010 MB TO 09N100W...THEN CONTINUES FROM 10N110W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N127W 1009 MB TO 09N129W TO 09N133W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 09N133W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W QUADRANT OF LOW PRES NEAR 09N92W. $$ .FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.