000
FZPN03 KNHC 010245
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SAT NOV 01 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT NOV 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN NOV 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON NOV 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 9.5N 101.8W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC NOV 
01 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE  
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 10.0N 105.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 12.6N 109.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 105W 
AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 16.5N 110.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 20.1N 108.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION VANCE INLAND NEAR 24.3N 
105.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
13.5N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 
TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12.5N98.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 13.5N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N98W TO 
13N101W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 13.5N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N97W TO 
12.5N100W TO 12.5N103W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...EXCEPT E TO 
SE WINDS W OF 100W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 
08N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 
12.5N100W TO 14N105W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE 
WINDS W OF 100W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. 
REMAINDER AREA FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N123W TO 23N140W. NW OF LINE FROM 30N128W TO 
23N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 
14N TO 18N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N118W TO 26N122W.  
FROM 13N TO 23N W OF 132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE FROM 30N123W TO 23N132W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL...HIGHEST N OF 28N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 30N115W TO 
24N120W. FROM 11N TO 25N W OF 128W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 
FROM 30N118W TO 20N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN 
NW SWELL...HIGHEST N OF 28N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 23N W OF 122W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 
10N W OF A LINE 26N115W TO 10N128W WINDS 20 OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF 
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09.5N TO 11N E OF 89W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0215 UTC SAT NOV 01...

.TROPICAL STORM VANCE...CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 60 NM W OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 08N 
TO 12N BETWEEN 98W AND 104W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N79W TO 09N90W TO 10N98W...THEN RESUMES W 
OF T.S. VANCE FROM 09N105W TO 07N110W TO 1009 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
12N122W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 96W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 
06N TO 09N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 08N 
TO 10N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.