000
FZPN03 KNHC 302126
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC THU OCT 30 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 31.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT NOV 01.

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 11.0N 101.0W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
30 MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 10.1N 102.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 10.1N 105.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 
108W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN NE 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 12.0N 109.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE VANCE NEAR 16.0N 110.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM VANCE NEAR 20.0N 108.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
13.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 12N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N96W TO 12N98W 
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 13N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N97W TO 
12N100W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W 
TO 15N95W TO 13N97W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N97W TO 12N100W 
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N135W TO 27N140W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N125W TO 26N130W THEN 
DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO 23N140W. NW OF A LINE FROM 30N132W TO 
24N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N121W TO 24N127W THEN 
DISSIPATING COLD FRONT TO 20N140W. N OF 29N BETWEEN 125W AND 
132W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 20N 
TO 25N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 30N125W TO 20N132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 30N116W TO 23N125W 
TO 20N140W. ELSEWHERE NW OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 22N130W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 20N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 24N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. N OF 24N W OF 130W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU OCT 30...

.TROPICAL STORM VANCE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 
10N BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 96W AND 100W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...         
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N98W THEN RESUMES W OF T.S. 
VANCE FROM 10N105W TO 12N123W TO 10N132W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 10N132W 
TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 03N E OF 
82W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 
04N TO 08N BETWEEN 82W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 
14N BETWEEN 119W AND 126W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.