000
FZPN03 KNHC 181604
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 18.                             
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 20.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM TRUDY NEAR 17.2N 98.8W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
18 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 
08N TO 14N BETWEEN 96W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TRUDY NEAR 17.5N 
98.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. FROM 10N TO 
13N BETWEEN 96W AND 105W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TRUDY NEAR 17.5N 
98.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WEAKENING FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 30N125W TO 26N132W. NW OF FRONT 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW COLD FRONT FROM 30N136W TO 27N140W. NW OF 
FRONT 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N127W TO 26N132W 
TO 24N140W. NW OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT IN 
NW SWELL. WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 09N98W TO 
08N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NW AND SW 
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1515 UTC SAT OCT 18...

.TROPICAL STORM TRUDY...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N TO 
17N BETWEEN 96W AND 103W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
FROM 13N105W TO 14N103W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 
17N103W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N123W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...              
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 10N88W NW TO 15N92W... 
...WHERE IT HAS FRACTURED FROM TROPICAL STORM TRUDY...THEN 
RESUMES FROM 13N107W TO 11N118W TO 11N20W TO 09N135W...WHERE IT 
ENDS. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 09N135W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED  
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG S OF TROUGH WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 
05N83W TO 05N87W TO 05N92W...WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 
106W AND 109W AND ALSO WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 127W 
AND 130W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 240 NM S OF ITCZ BETWEEN 
133W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.