000
FZPN03 KNHC 051454
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SUN OCT 05 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 22.9N 117.1W 972 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 05 
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 28N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A 
BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 24.5N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM E AND 120 W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20   
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM 
25N112W TO 20N112W TO 18N120W TO 30N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIMON NEAR 26.2N 116.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 135 NM NE AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 111W 
AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIMON NEAR 28.2N 
115.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.       
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIMON NEAR 29.7N 
113.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.03 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 02S W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED 
SE...SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SUN OCT 05...

.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM    
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM N QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 
15N95W TO 13N98W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10N95W THEN    
RESUMES FROM 13N123W TO 12N140W. NO ITCZ E OF 140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM SW OF A LINE FROM 05N78W TO 07N85W AND 
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 133W AND 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.