000
FZPN03 KNHC 050245
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC SUN OCT 05 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 21.4N 115.9W 946 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 05 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 26N 
BETWEEN 109W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 23.5N 117.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 28N BETWEEN 112W AND 123W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 25.2N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 
27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 20N TO 29N BETWEEN 112W AND 
121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 27.0N 116.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIMON NEAR 28.5N 114.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIMON NEAR 30.0N 
113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0200 UTC SUN OCT 05...

.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 113W AND 119W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 110W AND 113W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N89W TO 08N110W THEN RESUMES 
FROM 14N116W TO 12N122W TO 14N130W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 
13N132W TO 12N137W. ITCZ FROM 12N137W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 108W AND 114WW...AND FROM 10N 
TO 13N BETWEEN 131W AND 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 08N 
BETWEEN 80W AND 83W...AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 96W AND 103W.

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.