000
FZPN03 KNHC 042121
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC SAT OCT 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 20.6N 115.0W 950 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 04 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT 
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 25N BETWEEN 109W 
AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 22.7N 117.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 28N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 24.1N 117.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 20N TO 28N BETWEEN 
112W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 25.5N 117.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 26.5N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIMON NEAR 27.5N 
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC SAT OCT 04...

.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 111W AND 118W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N79W TO 08N80W TO 09N87W TO 07N110W THEN 
RESUMES FROM 14N116W TO 12N121W TO 14N129W TO 12N133W. ITCZ FROM 
12N133W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 
77W AND 82W...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N90W TO 
11N97W...FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 97W AND 101W...FROM 05N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 107W AND 112W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 127W AND 
134W. 

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.