000
FZPN03 KNHC 041517
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1630 UTC SAT OCT 04 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 20.2N 113.8W 966 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 04 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 15N TO 24N BETWEEN 106W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 22.2N 116.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 
180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 28N BETWEEN 110W AND 123W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SIMON NEAR 23.7N 117.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM SE AND 210 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 19N TO 30N BETWEEN 111W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 24.5N 117.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIMON NEAR 25.5N 117.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIMON NEAR 26.5N 
116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.S OF 00N E OF 87W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLER CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SAT OCT 04...

.HURRICANE SIMON...NUMEROUS MODERATE AND SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 
75 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...             
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 08N100W TOP 11N108W THEN RESUMES 
FROM 13N116W TO 12N133W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 86W AND 88W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 99W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N AND 150 NM S 
OF TROUGH BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 
NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 125W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 
30 NM N AND 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 133W AND 136W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.